Why The Senate’s Obamacare Repeal Failed

[ Originally published on this site as post ]

What just happened?

The Senate’s failure to pass a bill to repeal and replace Obamacare was not shocking, in a broad sense. FiveThirtyEight and other news outlets have been writing for months about the unpopularity of this legislation, both with the public and with Republican senators.

But it would have been hard to predict the particular sequence of events that led to the bill’s collapse early Friday morning. Senate Republican leaders unveiled a fairly narrow repeal proposal, set up the process for a vote and had Vice President Mike Pence come to the Senate chamber. It seemed obvious what would happen: All the Democrats would join Alaska’s Lisa Murkowski and Maine’s Susan Collins in voting “no,” 50 Republicans would vote