Medicare Scare Tactics

[ Originally published on this site as post ]

TV ads from a Democratic group warn seniors that “right now, your Medicare coverage is in danger,” claiming “deep, automatic cuts” could be made by “unelected Washington bureaucrats.” But those cuts, according to current estimates, wouldn’t be implemented until 2023, and they would amount to .002 percentage points of Medicare growth that year.

It’s true that more automatic cuts to the growth of spending are expected in future years. But like many political messages about Medicare, these ads feature scare tactics — warning of cuts that could “restrict access to doctors” and “deny care” — when we don’t yet know what any cost-cutting would entail.

The ads, from Majority Forward, a 501(c)(4) formed to support Democratic candidates and affiliated with